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Trust is a behavior, not a credential – and that explains the Rodgers-Fauci divide

Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers recently called Dr. Anthony Fauci an ‘absolute coward’ and a ‘criminal.’ Lauren Leigh Bacho/Getty Images Sport

Following an appearance on The Pat McAfee Show on Aug. 3, 2026, Aaron Rodgers, quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers, received attention for calling Dr. Anthony Fauci an “absolute coward” and “criminal.” Rodgers’ comments were in response to Fauci invoking his Fifth Amendment rights at a congressional hearing on pandemic-era policies and the origins of COVID-19.

Fauci exercised his Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination more than 100 times, rather than answer questions about his role in the government’s pandemic response. The invocation came amid years of congressional investigations and hearings scrutinizing his handling of the pandemic.

Fauci’s testimony likely didn’t do much to build public trust – invoking the Fifth Amendment dozens of times may have read as evasive even when it’s legally sound, and the format didn’t help either. Congressional hearings and press briefings aren’t, by design, places where people show much of themselves. Rodgers, on the other hand, has spent years doing the opposite – speaking candidly and often, in settings built for exactly that kind of rapport-building.

This isn’t unique to Rodgers. Many public figures – athletes, influencers, podcast hosts – have more regular opportunities to build rapport with audiences than experts do, at a time when Americans express decreased trust in experts overall.

There’s a reason for that decreased trust. Trust research can both help make sense of why someone might pay attention to a football player’s opinion of the former head of The National Institutes of Health. But that research also highlights the limits of opinion surveys that simply ask people how much they trust various groups in society.

These “how much do you trust” questions probe Americans’ overall views of specific groups, like scientists. The issue is that these questions sidestep deeper discussions about what makes people willing to put their trust in others.

Many researchers, including me, study the intersection of trust and how scientists engage the public. One thing essential to understanding trust is to separate behaviors from beliefs.

Trust behaviors vs. trustworthiness beliefs

Trust researchers often treat trust as a type of behavior rather than an overall evaluation about a group. When it comes to healthcare, this might mean looking at how willing people are to follow their doctor’s medical advice. It matters less whether people say they trust doctors on a survey and more how they behave in their daily lives.

Trust behaviors involve making yourself vulnerable to someone else, and such behaviors are everywhere in our lives, once you know to look for them.

People demonstrate trust in automakers, mechanics, government employees who regulate and police roadways, and even other drivers by choosing to drive. People also demonstrate trust in economists, ecologists and epidemiologists, when they consider their advice while making personal or civic decisions.

Defining trust as a type of behavior helps clarify the key question: What beliefs make people more likely to trust?

Understanding what researchers often call trustworthiness beliefs – sometimes called perceptions – can help experts understand where they are falling short, whether in their behaviors or in how they communicate.

Expertise beliefs aren’t enough

Scholars have long known that people don’t just trust scientists because they believe they hold expertise. What people believe about others’ character also matters.

A man with white hair and wearing a suit raises his right hand in a courtroom.
Dr. Anthony Fauci’s relationship with public trust became a flashpoint during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images News via Getty Images

While some research focuses on beliefs about expertise and character, other trust frameworks break character into smaller parts.

Benevolence beliefs can be understood as feeling that someone has goodwill toward you and cares about your well-being. Integrity beliefs focus on expectations about honesty and morality.

For example, a scientist might show a real desire to help, but fail to show how they protect their work’s integrity – like by being transparent about a study’s limitations or disclosing potential conflicts of interest. Likewise, an expert might demonstrate integrity without communicating care for the people that their decisions might affect.

Some researchers consider other character attributes too. Two common ones include beliefs about whether someone will listen and share information and whether someone shares your values.

These distinctions matter for experts who want to earn trust because the actions needed to demonstrate one aspect of trustworthiness may not demonstrate other aspects.

For example, experts might put a lot of effort into listening to community needs to demonstrate integrity and openness, but miss opportunities to communicate the underlying benevolent motivations driving their work. A public health department might hold listening sessions before rolling out a new program, but if it doesn’t also explain why it’s investing in that program – what it’s trying to protect people from, and who benefits – residents may come away seeing a checkbox exercise rather than genuine care.

Trust isn’t one-size-fits-all

Another challenge: Trustworthiness beliefs depend heavily on context. This is easy to see with expertise beliefs. The expertise you look for in a mechanic differs from what you look for in a doctor.

Trustworthiness beliefs also aren’t the only thing that shapes whether someone follows expert advice. Behavior change research points to other factors – like whether people believe an action actually benefits them, whether it’s socially accepted among their friends and family, and whether they feel capable of doing it.

In other words, someone might trust Fauci and still not get vaccinated, if they don’t believe the shot benefits them or don’t think they can manage the side effects.

How experts can earn trust

Experts cannot assume that others see them as trustworthy or that people will pay attention to them while ignoring sources who have demonstrated other aspects of trustworthiness.

Experts also cannot assume people will pay close attention to every choice they’re asked to make or the trustworthiness of every information source.

A man wearing a red hat holds a sign that reads 'Fauci was wrong.'
Psychology shows people aren’t always going to make a decision because of an expert’s recommendation.
SOPA Images/LightRocket Collection via Getty Images

People may also often rely on the most available information or follow potentially misleading cues like how compelling someone sounds, their appearance or existing beliefs.

Camera-ready influencers who interact regularly with audiences and health gurus who spend substantial time with their clients have many opportunities to shape beliefs about their ability, benevolence and integrity that busy experts cannot easily match.

These examples point to the reality that bona fide experts need to take advantage of every opportunity to demonstrate trustworthiness in engaging ways. This way, trustworthiness beliefs already exist when people make choices and when encountering potential causes for concern like Fauci’s testimony.

I often advise scientists to be more proactive in demonstrating their motivations and how they protect their work’s integrity while avoiding choices that may communicate a lack of concern or shared values.

Read more of our stories about Pittsburgh and Pennsylvania.

The Conversation

John C. Besley receives funding relevant to trust from the National Science Foundation, the USDA NIFA, the National Institutes of Health, and The Kavli Foundation. He has previously received funding from other science-focused foundations and government research programs. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of funders.

​Politics + Society – The Conversation

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Indictments against a top extremism researcher and the SPLC force a reckoning on research ethics – an extremism scholar reflects on the field’s challenges

White nationalist demonstrators clash with counterdemonstrators at the entrance to Lee Park in Charlottesville, Va., on Aug. 12, 2017. AP Photo/Steve Helber

The August 2026 federal indictment of Heidi Beirich, a longtime researcher who studies political violence and the American far right, has provoked strong reactions within the professional community of extremism scholars.

I am one of those researchers. Beirich is a longtime colleague. In her work, she testified before Congress, shaped the understanding of journalists and politicians regarding organized hate groups in the United States, and collaborated with many scholars in the field.

Here’s the background: On Aug. 12 federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against Beirich, who is the former director of the Intelligence Project, the monitoring and research arm of the Southern Poverty Law Center, for wire fraud, bank fraud and money laundering. The indictment follows the April indictment of the SPLC itself, an Alabama-based civil rights nonprofit that has spent five decades litigating against white supremacist organizations and cataloging hate groups through its widely cited “hate map.”

The April indictment accused the organization of secretly funneling millions of dollars in donor funds to informants embedded in violent extremist movements, using bank accounts opened for fictitious companies.

The SPLC cases raise a crucial question for extremism researchers: In a field whose research methods can at times diverge from standard and approved methods in other academic areas, what are the legitimate ethical limits, especially with respect to cultivation of insider sources and source compensation?

I believe that a field that documents how political movements rationalize the misconduct of their own members should be the last to reproduce this pattern.

A blond-haired woman in a black top and blue sweater.
Heidi Beirich on April 6, 2017, when she worked at the Southern Poverty Law Center.
AP photo/Mary Altaffer

Legal context

For decades, the SPLC’s Intelligence Project tracked far-right extremist organizations. Some of that knowledge came from public sources, but some of it came from people inside those movements.

To understand how clandestine groups actually operate, who leads them, where they meet and what they are planning, the organization cultivated insiders and, according to prosecutors, paid them.

The SPLC maintains in its court filings that information gathered this way was shared with federal law enforcement, including in the period surrounding the 2017 “Unite the Right” rally in Charlottesville, Va. The Justice Department disputes that characterization.

What is not in dispute is that this practice existed, and its legality is the center of the case against both the SPLC and Beirich.

The indictment alleges that the SPLC misrepresented to donors how their contributions would be used, that it opened bank accounts in the names of fictitious entities to disguise the source and destination of the payments, and that between 2007 and 2023 more than US$4 million reached individuals connected to the Ku Klux Klan, Aryan Nations, the National Alliance, the United Klans of America and participants in the Unite the Right rally.

In Beirich’s case specifically, prosecutors allege that roughly $140,000 moved between 2015 and 2021 from an SPLC account into accounts she jointly held with an informant, and that the money covered personal living expenses.

Beirich, through her attorneys, has firmly rejected the accusations as politically motivated.

Playing politics?

Indeed, there is a politicized context surrounding the prosecution. This was reflected both in the administration’s statements and actions against the SPLC.

On the day of the April indictment, Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche said the SPLC had been “manufacturing racism to justify its existence” and was “manufacturing the extremism it purports to oppose.”

Assistant Attorney General Harmeet Dhillon described the prosecution as “personal,” citing her own prior representation of people the SPLC had labeled extremists, which Dhillon believed was unjustified.

The FBI decided in October 2025 to end its cooperation with the SPLC, which had involved sharing data and analysis on hate crimes and hate groups and drawing on the organization’s tracking of extremist movements.

In early August 2026, a federal judge denied the SPLC’s motion to dismiss the organization’s indictment as a vindictive prosecution, finding that it had not produced objective evidence tying the political criticism to the charging decision itself. She also refused to let the organization obtain the government’s internal records of how the decision to prosecute was reached, describing its submissions as “speculation upon conjecture.” Days later, Beirich was charged in the second superseding indictment.

Studying extremists

These two cases force researchers to grapple with how knowledge about violent movements is actually produced.

Researchers, journalists and watchdog organizations rely on four broad avenues of access:

Consent-based engagement, which consists primarily of interviews with current and former members of extremist movements, conducted under institutional oversight and with informed consent, meaning that participants are told what the research is for, what will be done with what they say, and that they may withdraw at any point.

Observational fieldwork, which includes attending rallies, meetings and public events to document organizational dynamics.

Large-scale collection of online content from platforms and encrypted channels where extremist communities organize and communicate.

Cultivation of insider sources – by far the most delicate information collection. Sources include defectors, informants and individuals who remain embedded within movements while passing information to outsiders. Academic researchers rarely use this last avenue. Watchdog organizations and investigative journalists rely on it.

The ethics of studying extremism was the focus of a webinar series for researchers in 2025.

Ethical challenges

Academic research on human subjects is governed by a framework built largely in response to past medical and psychological research abuses.

Its core commitments are voluntary and informed participation, minimization of harm to participants, confidentiality and prior approval by an institutional review board that weighs risk against scientific value. That architecture assumes a research setting in which the participant is the vulnerable party, the risks are foreseeable and the researcher is safe.

Extremism research fits none of those assumptions cleanly.

Covert observation conflicts with informed consent. Revealing oneself to a violent movement can put the researcher in danger and skew the data.

Information collected for academic purposes can acquire operational value for law enforcement agencies, blurring the line between research and intelligence work.

And the compensation of sources exists in the deepest gray area of all. Mainstream journalism largely prohibits paying sources. Law enforcement institutionalizes it through regulated informant programs.

However, researchers and watchdog organizations operate in the unregulated space between these poles. Paying an insider may be the only way to maintain access, protect the source or extract someone from a movement, but that same payment also carries the risk of subsidizing the movement itself.

The field has never resolved this tension and largely avoided it.

The Framework for Research Ethics in Terrorism Studies gives review boards a structured set of questions covering participant vulnerability, consent, anonymity, data security and the safety of the researcher. But it addresses how researchers should be reviewed rather than how insider relationships should be financed. On the question of paying a source, the framework, like the field, remains largely silent.

Implications for extremism research

If courts accept the government’s legal approach in the SPLC cases, effectively treating discreet payment channels to insider sources as inherently fraudulent, the implications reach far beyond a single organization.

Watchdog groups and newsrooms that route payments through intermediaries to keep a source’s identity insulated in dangerous reporting environments, and researchers who compensate participants for their time under routine institutional review board approval, would all find their standard methods newly exposed.

That will undermine efforts to gain a clear picture of violent extremism in the U.S., including how many attacks occur and by whom, how movements recruit, how online spaces convert grievance into planning and which warning signs precede violence.

That work feeds federal and state threat assessments, informs social media platforms on how to identify extremist users and content, shapes prevention programs and supplies the evidentiary basis for prosecutions and congressional oversight. A legal theory that treats discreet payment channels to insider sources as inherently fraudulent would narrow the range of what can be known about movements that conceal themselves by design.

Despite such concerns, the positive outlook is that a professional field that has spent decades documenting how political movements rationalize the misconduct of their members is in an unusually good position to notice when it starts doing the same thing.

Researchers can use this moment to finally build the ethical infrastructure around the cultivation of insider sources and source compensation that the field has postponed for too long.

The Conversation

Arie Perliger does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

​Politics + Society – The Conversation

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These Chocolate Muffins Are One Of The Best Desserts At Costco

There is much to be impressed by in Costco’s bakery section apart from cake and cookies. The warehouse chain’s muffins are also quite the sweet treat.

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Ranking The 10 Best 2027 NFL Draft-Eligible QBs: Arch Manning No. 3?!

With the college football season upon us, NFL executives and scouts will be keeping a close eye on a talented 2027 quarterback class that has the potential to rank as the best in NFL history. That mythical title still belongs to the 1983 class headlined by Hall of Famers John Elway, Dan Marino and Jim Kelly. For more than four decades, that was the only class to feature six QBs selected in the first round. It’s not out of the realm of possibility that the 2027 class matches or eclipses that mark. Given the buzz that is already floating around league circles, I thought it was the perfect time to take a sneak peek at this deep crop of quarterbacks and rank them as I see them heading into the season. As a bonus, I’m sharing an active pro comparison for the 10 best QB prospects. Honorable mentions: Josh Hoover, Indiana; Jayden Maiava, USC; Drew Mestemaker, Oklahoma State; Sam Leavitt, LSU The most polarizing prospect on the list has the potential to make the biggest jump up draft boards under the direction of a new head coach with a reputation for building explosive offenses. Iamaleava possesses the athleticism and arm talent that evaluators covet, with the playmaking prowess to shine in a scheme featuring RPOs and movement passes. Although the 6-foot-6, 215-pounder remains a work in progress in the pocket, Iamaleava’s tools and talent will keep him on the radar for scouts looking for a quarterback with the potential to become an explosive playmaker as a pro. Current pro comp: Justin Herbert The confident passer heads to Miami after helping a pair of programs (Duke and Tulane) play championship-caliber football as the playmaking point guard from the pocket. Mensah plays on time and routinely puts the ball on target in a rhythmic offense that seemingly has answers for every blitz or pressure thrown at him by aggressive defensive play-callers. With the veteran moving on to a top-10 program to pursue a national title, the football world will have a chance to see how he fares with a stellar supporting cast. If he plays as he has for Tulane and Duke, the slick passer with superb ball placement could dazzle and emerge as an intriguing option for a team looking for a long-term starter. Current pro comp: Jordan Love The silky-smooth passer is not a household name, but his polished game should pique the interest of evaluators looking for a classic drop-back quarterback to build around. Measuring at 6-foot-6, 213 pounds, Bailey is a wiry passer with a whip that is best utilized in a vertical passing game. The junior (and third-year starter) is a rhythm passer who plays on time and routinely delivers on-target passes to every area of the field. As a big-play hunter with a high-arcing deep ball that is nearly impossible to defend, Bailey is a wild card who could soar up the charts — if he shows discipline and patience as a passer when defenses opt to play soft against the Wolfpack’s ordinarily potent offense. This past weekend’s season opener seemed a bit inauspicious, however. Current pro comp: C.J. Stroud After being ruled ineligible for the 2026 Supplemental Draft, the embattled passer will spend the entire season honing his skills in preparation for the 2027 draft. Meanwhile, executives and scouts will study the 2024 and 2025 seasons to determine if Sorsby is a developmental prospect or franchise player in a loaded class. Studying his old tapes, it is easy to see why the league was buzzing when he was expected to join the 2026 class. At 6-foot-3, 235 pounds, the mobile playmaker possesses the size and strength to generate explosive plays as a runner or thrower on the perimeter. He displays the ball-handling skills and athleticism to make pinpoint throws on the run as part of a creative bootleg or naked-pass game. With Sorsby also exhibiting the patience to work the underneath areas when opponents take away vertical throws, the veteran flashes the maturity to handle the bright lights and big stage as a pro. Although his gambling woes will force some teams to remove him from their draft boards entirely due to trust issues, the former Bearcat’s talent and tools will pique the interest of a general manager willing to roll the dice on the troubled star. Current pro comp: Jaxson Dart The rugged playmaker must bounce back from a disappointing 2025 campaign that raised questions about his readiness to be a franchise quarterback at the next level. While his shortcomings are correctable mechanical issues, the 6-foot-3, 240-pound gunslinger must refine his technique to fully unlock his superpowers as a dual-threat playmaker with A-plus arm talent and athleticism. Specifically, Sellers must improve in his accuracy and efficiency to graduate from “freak” athlete to certified franchise quarterback on the draft board. Given his raw tools and playmaking prowess, Sellers will be in the discussion as a Day 1 possibility, but his production must match his potential to vault to the top of the charts as a blue-chip quarterback prospect. Current pro comp: Jalen Hurts The diminutive playmaker is a dynamic weapon with the potential to produce big plays with his arm or legs. Chambliss took the football world by storm when he took over at Ole Miss, but electric displays have been a part of his game since he helped Ferris State claim a D2 national championship in 2024. Although his size (6-0, 200 pounds) will make some teams pause, it is hard to deny his performance and production as a quick-rhythm passer with explosive running skills. As a slick ball handler with a quick release, he is best suited to play in a wide-open offensive scheme that leverages his dual-threat talents through RPOs and timely deep balls. With some teams hesitant to gamble on an undersized quarterback regardless of talent, Chambliss is one of the biggest wild cards of the 2027 class. Current pro comp: Kyler Murray The one-year starter has captivated scouts seeking a “winner” with the tools to thrive at the next level. Despite entering 2026 with only 293 pass attempts, the grandson of former Michigan head coach Lloyd Carr is a tough-minded competitor with the discipline and patience to win games utilizing a conservative approach from the pocket. The 6-foot-3, 210-pounder rarely puts the ball in harm’s way, opting for checkdowns and underneath routes when the defense plays “umbrella” coverage designed to take away the deep ball. That said, Carr is not afraid to take his chances down the field on “alley-oop” tosses to big-bodied receivers and tight ends near the boundary. The clever game of chess played by the redshirt sophomore reflects his maturity and suggests he is built to play winning football for a top team as a pro. Current pro comp: Bo Nix The ultra-talented passer has a chance to jump into the family business as the next Manning to emerge as a franchise quarterback. At 6-4, 219 pounds, he oozes blue-chip “drip” as a mobile playmaker with a knack for producing “wow” plays inside and outside the pocket. Manning’s combination of athleticism and arm talent is better than the tools his famous uncles (Peyton and Eli) brought to the field, but he lacks the experience to dominate the game with his intelligence and diagnostic skills. However, another season at Texas under the direction of a quarterback guru who knows how to showcase an athletic drop-back passer could lead to significant improvement in his production and performance this fall. Given his combination of talent, tools, and technique, Manning could shoot to the top of the charts by the end of the 2027 draft process with a strong showing as a two-year starter. Current pro comp: Joe Burrow The 6-foot-1, 208-pounder is a masterful “grip it and rip it” passer with the touch, timing and anticipation to shred defenses with a flurry of pinpoint passes thrown at intermediate range. While skeptics will question Sayin’s arm strength compared to his peers, the Ohio State standout deftly attacks every area of the field with layered throws over the top of squatting defenders aggressively “playing at the sticks” on critical downs. With the junior showing impressive processing quickness and sound judgment as a pass-first point guard, teams willing to take a technician over a superior talent will view Sayin as a system player with franchise potential. Current pro comp: Baker Mayfield As a pure thrower with outstanding footwork and mechanics, Moore looks like a seasoned veteran directing an offense that is loaded with playmakers. Although his critics have been picking apart his game after a disappointing finish in the College Football Playoff, the 6-foot-3, 206-pounder is a polished pocket passer and a sneaky dual-threat playmaker who can operate within or outside the system. Given his tools, toughness and deadly accuracy, Moore possesses the traits executives and scouts look for in a franchise QB1. As a patient player who will take the checkdown and underneath throws when opponents sit in a soft zone, Moore keeps the offense on schedule with a patient approach that tests the discipline of opposing defenses. Now he just needs to demonstrate as much against top competition. Current pro comp: Jordan Love​Latest Sports News from FOX Sports

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The Hearty Final Meal John Dillinger Ate Before His Death

Far more attention has been paid to John Dillinger’s brazen criminality in the 1930s than to what he ate. His last meal matched his Midwestern tastes.

​Mashed – Fast Food, Celebrity Chefs, Grocery, Reviews

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Poll: Working class voters are still up for grabs

Republicans and Democrats are fighting over working class voters. Americans don’t believe the rhetoric.

Fifty-five percent of Americans think politicians are just trying to win votes when they say they will help the working class, according to new results from The POLITICO Poll. It’s a view held by majorities of people who voted for President Donald Trump, who voted for Kamala Harris and who self-identify as working class.

Only one in four Americans who self-identify as working-class say politicians genuinely want to help them.

That wariness comes as both parties increasingly see working class voters as key to their winning coalitions. But The POLITICO Poll results show both parties face serious challenges to doing so.

Neither party does particularly well with Americans who identify as working class: 38 percent of them say Democrats best represent them, while 32 percent say Republicans. Americans, broadly, are almost identically split, with a 37 percent plurality saying Democrats best represent the interests of the working class, while 30 percent say Republicans.

Democrats wrestling with how to win back voters who have drifted toward the GOP — as their coalition has grown increasingly dominated by college-educated Americans — are locked in an intraparty battle over which wing of the party, progressives or moderates, best speaks to these voters.

“We’ve struggled with the working class for quite a while and it’s been a combination of being out of touch with working class values on a lot of culture issues and being seen as either not helpful or not helpful enough on economic issues,” said Jim Kessler, executive vice president for policy at the centrist Democratic think tank Third Way.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), widely considered the leader of the progressive movement, told Playbook’s Will Steakin that progressive Democrats “are speaking to the needs of working families.”

“It is not just traditional Democrats or independents,” he said. “There are a lot of working-class Republicans who understand that there’s something wrong when we are the only major nation on Earth not to guarantee health care to all people.”

Republicans, meanwhile, are trying to hold onto the gains Trump made in 2024 with working class voters — including Black and Latino voters frustrated with the Biden-era economy — at a time when cost of living remains voters’ top concern.

“With the [Iran] war, with gas prices, with cost of food, the working class is not happy with the president, and many who are independents and even some Republicans have said that he’s forgotten about them,” said former Ohio Republican Rep. Jim Renacci.

Who is working class?

Complicating both parties’ efforts to win over these voters is that Americans do not agree on what makes someone working class. Neither do lawmakers and party officials.

When asked whether the term “working class” describes them, a 59 percent majority of Americans broadly say it does, while just 31 percent say it does not, according to the survey conducted by London-based polling firm Public First. But when forced to choose from a list of labels — including wealthy, middle class, lower middle class, working class and poor — just 16 percent of adults say they identify as “working class.”

Americans are also divided over what characteristics define the working class.

Some politicians, including progressive New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Andy Schor, the centrist Democratic mayor of Lansing, Michigan, have argued the definition of working class is expansive — encompassing anyone who needs to work to pay their bills.

“If you’re not making enough money that you don’t have to work, then you’re working class,” said Schor in an interview. “The American Dream is to be able to work hard and get ahead, and people are not getting ahead like they used to, and they’ll look at the folks that they vote for and think, ‘Who can help me to get ahead?’”

The POLITICO Poll illustrates the difficult path for the GOP to solidify its gains with working class Americans as economic concerns continue to be top of mind: More than a third of this group say they are not currently employed. A 35 percent plurality also say Trump, not former President Joe Biden, is fully responsible for the economy and many oppose the war in Iran, which most say has made things more expensive for them.

Half of self-identified working class Americans say Trump has spent too much time focusing on international affairs instead of on domestic issues.

“I think [Republican candidates] just got to tell the truth,” Renacci, the Ohio Republican, said. “You just have to start realizing that those middle class voters are struggling and they’re just looking for somebody who’s going to understand their issues and problems.”

The race for 2026

November will offer a major test of whether each party’s working class pitch is working, carrying implications that extend into 2028.

Candidates in both parties are racing to flex their working class bonafides this cycle, leaning on their biographies to signal ties to these voters. Trump pushed that playbook to extremes in 2024, when he briefly worked the fryer and drive-through window at McDonald’s as part of a campaign swing through Pennsylvania.

Republicans have continued that approach, with candidates and administration officials emphasizing their blue-collar roots on the campaign trail. Vice President JD Vance recently returned to his hometown of Middletown, Ohio, where he spoke at the steel plant where his grandfather worked.

In battleground Georgia, Rep. Mike Collins — the state’s GOP Senate nominee — often touts his background as a trucker. And GOP Sen. Susan Collins has broken with Trump on tariff policy, saying his trade fight with Canada hurts working families and small businesses in Maine, where she’s locked in a competitive battle for reelection.

These efforts come against the backdrop of increasing concerns about the economy, fueled by the ongoing Iran war.

Democrats, meanwhile, are divided over which flank of the party can best appeal to working class voters, a fissure that burst into public view during primary season, when a slate of progressives prevailed in high-profile contests.

“The working class are giving Democrats another look and we better not blow it,” said Kessler of Third Way. “Donald Trump got reelected based on the notion he was going to fight for you, working class men and women, and his first year and a half has been anything but that.”

Some Democrats have made their working class background central to their pitch: Sam Forstag, a union leader and former smokejumper, is running in an open district in western Montana that Trump won by double digits in 2024. Bob Brooks, a firefighter union chief, is challenging GOP Rep. Ryan Mackenzie in Pennsylvania.

But some progressives are still running into limits: In Michigan, one of Democrats’ must-hold seats in November, the state’s divisive Senate primary illustrated that debate in real-time. Progressive Abdul El-Sayed, who won the Democratic nomination, performed best in the state’s wealthiest and most highly educated areas, while moderate Rep. Haley Stevens did better in places with lower average incomes and where fewer votes have college degrees.

Jessie Blaeser contributed to this report.

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